duck curve

  • Commercial and market outlook

    Hogging the spotlight: the opportunity in the evening peak

    As the duck curve steepens and renewable energy penetration increases in the NEM, we briefly examine revenue share by time of day and highlight the growing opportunity in the evening peak. Will this become the new normal, with revenues increasingly concentrated in just one part of the day? Or will...

  • Commercial and market outlook

    Duck, duck, goose: bigger bellies and longer necks

    The last few months have been littered with record low demand in the system, highlighting that the ducks of the NEM continue to arch their backs lower and lower.  In this Chart of the week, we zoom out on the changes to scheduled demand and in the variability of the lowest and...

  • Low carbon generation

    Australian Chart of the week | Out of sight, not out of mind: DER record growth continues

    The growth in behind-the-meter distributed energy resources (BTM DER) has been a key feature of the NEM over recent years. BTM solar has grown from ~1-2% of total energy supplied five years ago to ~6% this year. In fact, looking within the day, the percentage of supply being provided by...

  • Low carbon generation

    Australian Chart of the week | COVID’s inverse duck effect

    In our Chart of the Week Issue 29 two weeks ago, we looked at the demand curve across March and into the first week of April, which showed a trend emerging of a decline morning peak and an unchanged evening peak. Two weeks on we can see that the decrease in morning...

  • Low carbon generation

    Australian Chart of the week | SA is breaking records… but the ducks are everywhere

    Recently, there has been a lot of commentary on minimum demand levels/ the ‘duck curve’ in South Australia (SA). This due to the state with its minimum demand breaking record three times in a month. In this Chart of the week, via a time-of-day analysis, we analyse other regions of...