Future Energy Scenarios

  • Home supply and services

    Chart of the week | Takes time to make time: When will we have time-of-use tariffs?

    Time-of-use (ToU) tariffs could be a key tool in supporting system decarbonisation and ensuring consumers see the benefits of the energy transition. Research for our latest edition of the Connected Homes Insight Service has found suppliers and consumers both taking tentative steps in exploring ToU pricing, with ambitious innovation and...

  • Low carbon generation

    Chart of the week | Colours of the Rainbow: Green hydrogen and FES 2020

    On 27 July, National Grid ESO released the 2020 issue of its Future Energy Scenarios (FES), exploring different pathways towards GB’s 2050 net zero goal. A new set of scenarios were developed for this year’s FES, with three of the four (Consumer Transformation, System Transformation and Leading the Way) meeting...

  • Commercial and market outlook

    Pixie Chart of the week | Under pressure: OGAs role in meeting net zero

    Under growing pressure from the UK’s 2050 Net Zero target, we are beginning to see the release of industry strategies detailing pathways to zero emissions. Among these is the Oil and Gas Authority’s (OGAs) UK Continental Shelf (UKCS) strategy. It surrounds the idea that UKCS oil and gas will remain...

  • Low carbon generation

    Pixie Chart of the week | Electricity North West projects future energy demand

    Just as National Grid Electricity System Operator publishes its annual Future Energy Scenarios, Distribution Network Operator (DNO) Electricity North West (ENW) launched its Distribution Future Energy Scenarios. The DNO has forecast future electricity generation and consumption across its network out to 2050, across five scenarios representing a base-case, as well...

  • E-mobility and low carbon

    Pixie Chart of the week | UnBEVlievable: EV sales break records in 2019

    2019 was an exceptional year for electric vehicle (EV) sales, and particularly for battery electric vehicles (BEVs), which are fast becoming the choice powertrain within the plug-in vehicle category. BEV sales are higher than the National Grid Future Energy Scenarios’ (FES) Consumer Evolution and Steady Progression forecasts, shown in this...

  • E-mobility and low carbon

    Pixie Chart of the week | National Grid forecasts for EV uptake changed

    National Grid issued its 2019 Future Energy Scenarios forecasts on 11 July. This annual forecast provides detailed insight into the expected future energy system, against four scenarios across gas and electricity. National Grid use this data to plan the future transmission systems, but it gives a fascinating insight into likely future energy...

  • Low carbon generation

    Chart of the week | Turning on the tap: the renewables pipeline

    This week's Chart of the Week looks at the updated Renewable energy Planning Database (REPD) which tracks the progress of new renewables projects through the planning system. The data is often used to quantify the pipeline of new renewables capacity that could come forward. Our chart gives the capacity of onshore wind...

  • Low carbon generation

    Chart of the week | Net zero power: more capacity, negative emissions

    This week's Chart of the Week looks at the Future Energy Scenarios (FES) for 2019, released by National Grid ESO today. It provides an updated outlook for a range of energy sector variables. Its four scenarios continue to be benchmarked against the 80% emissions reduction target on 1990 levels by...

  • E-mobility and low carbon

    Pixie Chart of the week | 2018 EV sales to match National Grid projection

    On 5 November, the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) published its October 2018 EV registration data. The graph shows a 6% increase on EV registrations for the year-to-date compared to 2017, although for the majority of 2018, BEV sales were slightly down. This week's Pixie Chart of the...

  • E-mobility and low carbon

    Pixie Chart of the week | EVs’ future role uncertain as uptake projections vary

    In Ofgem’s latest insight paper, Future Insights Paper 5 - Implications of the Transition to Electric Vehicles, published on 18 July, National Grid’s Future Energy Scenarios (FES) electric vehicle (EV) projections were found to have varied significantly in the period 2015 to 2017. From this, two key points could be...