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gas prices
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Commercial and market outlook
Gas generation on the move
Gas and electricity prices in Australia are unavoidably linked, particularly in the evening peaks where the gas generators have increased capability to set the price. Due to the recent spike in global gas prices, there has been a distinct change in gas generator bidding strategy resulting in an increase in...
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Commercial and market outlook
Australian gas prices have recently coupled with European spot. Will linkage persist post-2023?
Last year it was difficult to imagine that spot gas prices in Australia would hit unprecedented levels of more than $40-50/GJ, with AEMO capping the DWGM price at $40/GJ. By comparison, the DWGM only averaged $5.10/GJ last year. As was mentioned by Energy Market Intelligence Manager Mohsin Ali in the...
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Power and gas networks
Australian gas markets spike to unprecedented levels
Australia’s gas markets are in the middle of an unprecedented price spike. Current prices in the Victorian Declared Wholesale Gas Market (DWGM) have been tracking in the $20-40/GJ range since early May 2022, with prices hitting $50/GJ on 30 May. Prices in the other gas hubs of Sydney and Brisbane...
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Home supply and services
Future calling today?
Focus on the immediate gas price crisis has been on wholesale prices for the short-term and the imminent price caps – but what if highly volatile markets are a feature in the future and not just the present? Cornwall Insight’s Benchmark Power Curve looks at investment and operational decisions over...
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Commercial and market outlook
The Victorian story of gas demand segments
The Declared Wholesale Gas Market (DWGM) prices in Victoria have been on a rising trend since the start-up of LNG exports in 2015. Is this trend sustainable, given the Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO) forecasts an improved gas supply outlook with the new Port Kembla Gas Terminal (PKGT) expected to...
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Home supply and services
Domestic switching falls as the savings gap is squeezed
With day-ahead gas reaching an all-time high of 187.50p/th as of 15 September, it has been a record-breaking summer for wholesale energy prices. This Chart of the Week explores the impact these high prices are having on domestic tariffs and consumer switching behaviour.
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Power and gas networks
The rise of wholesale gas prices … the saga
It is certainly not a standard summer season for gas prices. Normally with demand for gas typically lower, we should see prices at the lowest levels of the calendar year. However, Summer 2021 gas prices are currently seeing bullish momentum with price points that we would expect to see in winter. In this ‘Chart of...
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Power and gas networks
Australian Chart of the week | All gas demands are equal; but some are more equal than others
One of the key objectives of the federal government’s proposal for a ‘gas-led recovery’ - besides building a 250MW gas-powered generator (GPG) - is reducing gas prices through increased supply to domestic consumers. The proposal highlights the need to invest in domestic gas exploration and transportation, as well as create...
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Low carbon generation
Chart of the week | One year on from ‘Beast from the East’
On 1 March 2018, during ‘Beast from the East’, National Grid issued a gas deficit warning for the first time since the system was introduced in 2012. The warning followed multiple gas supply outages, including South Hook LNG terminal, Kollsnes gas processing plant, and the BBL interconnector. This resulted in...
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Low carbon generation
Chart of the week | Will the wholesale bulls finally run out of steam?
In light of the continuing running of the bulls, this week’s Chart of the Week offers a wholesale market snapshot. It observes what has been driving recent power, gas and commodity prices. It then seeks to offer an outlook for this bullish momentum. Though the chart shows day-ahead gas and power prices...
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Low carbon generation
Chart of the Week | Low EU Gas Stocks Bullish for Summer Prices
The surge in gas demand across Europe from the very cold sting in the tail end of this winter may only have lasted a matter of days. However, the so-called ‘Beast from the East’ also leaves a legacy of increasing demand for gas this summer and low gas stocks. In...
