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Market Research & Insight

Industry cost forecasts

To maximise the profitability of your business, and to inform your strategic and operational decisions it is crucial that the information on which you are basing your conclusions is independent, accurate, and up to date. Through our unique combination of deep industry knowledge and practical experience, Cornwall can help you keep up to date with the latest market developments and help you understand their impact on your business

To maintain margins in an increasingly competitive market, it is crucial that you understand up to date industry driven costs and revenues in managing your own business models. Our costs and charges forecasts provide an independent assessment and can help you budget, set tariffs or validate internal assumptions:

  • Third Party Charge Forecast– third party charges (also called non-energy or pass-through charges) account for a significant and rising proportion of final delivered energy costs. But these charges are constantly changing. The Third Party Charge Forecast will provide you with an indication on how these charges are likely to change over the coming three years and how this will impact your energy bill
  • Long-term Roc Forecast– understanding the Roc market can be complex and time consuming. Whether you are the project owner, an investor or a supplier involved in the Roc market it is crucial that you are able to forecast values, obligations and costs. The Long-term Roc Forecast does just this, providing a reference point for future Renewables Obligation Certificate (Roc) values, and knowledge of how the costs of the RO may impact on supply businesses and energy bills out to 2027
  • Monthly Within-year Roc Forecast– putting together a trading strategy for Renewables Obligation Certificates (Rocs) can be time consuming and involve significant research, even then there is no guarantee that you are finding the best deals. The Monthly Within-year Roc Forecast will aid you in business strategy and planning by providing you with information on the value of Rocs in the current year, helping you evaluate offers received and ensure you are getting the best deal for your Rocs
  • Feed-in Tariff Forecast – costs associated with the Feed-in Tariff (FiT) scheme are volatile given their quarterly nature and dependence on renewables generation. As a supplier, it is crucial that you understand how these costs may change and what to pass-through to your customers. The Feed-in Tariff Forecast provides you with a quarterly estimate of FiT costs over the coming three years, helping you manage your budgets and keep you cost base in check. The report also comes with a monthly capacity and FiT scheme update to keep you up to date with the latest market and policy developments
  • Green Power Forecast– with the number of subsidy schemes and types of agreement on offer, understanding how to get the best value for your power can be complex. The Green Power Forecast provides renewables generators and suppliers with a forecast of values for renewable projects through different routes to market. With details of PPA values as well as a quarterly assessment of competition and pricing in the renewables PPA market values, the report provides clarity to those looking to sign PPAs in what can be an opaque area of the market
  • CfD Supplier Obligation Forecast– Contracts for Difference (CfDs) are already adding to the cost of electricity supply, and charges are set to increase in future as more projects commission. Our quarterly CfD cost forecast allows you to stay on top of key developments and budget for upcoming years
  • Consultancy support– whether you are developing market-entry strategies or you need independent advice to inform your strategy or business plan, you can depend on Cornwall. Selected for our unparalleled depth of sector expertise, commercial know-how and experience, we have helped a broad range of clients tackle their toughest challenges
  • Training and events– our trainers aren’t just experts in their field, they bring information to life. Our courses are designed to support the development of individuals and improve their knowledge of GB energy and water markets

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