Chart of the week | Default tariff cap set to rise by at least £100 for coming winter

The default tariff price cap for a typical dual fuel direct debit customer looks set to increase by over £100 for the Winter 2021-22 period, according to an initial assessment from Cornwall Insight’s bi-annual tariff cap predictor. The latest forecast for the cap indicates that it will increase to around £1,250 for the coming season, which would represent the second successive seasonal increase in the cap following the rise recorded for Summer 2021 that saw an increase to £1,138. 

The primary reason for the expected increase comes from the wholesale market, where prices have seen a considerable rise to reach some of the highest levels seen since the extreme weather conditions caused by the “Beast from the East” in early 2018.

To keep reading, please log in to your account

Related thinking

Business supply and services

The first month of the EGL against a backdrop of falling wholesale prices

The end of January means the end of the first month of the Electricity Generator Levy (EGL). First announced as part of the Autumn 2022 budget, the EGL places a 45% tax on generation receipts above £75/MWh for non-Contracts for Difference (CfD) renewable and nuclear generators until March 2028. In...

Home supply and services

With wholesale prices falling, how many domestic customers are looking for better prices?

In anticipation of supply contracts being offered below the Energy Price Guarantee (EPG), what might happen to customer switching rates? In this week’s 'Chart of the week', we look at how many domestic consumers might be ready to switch when suppliers increasingly offer contracts below the price cap supported level,...

Home supply and services

A bumpy ride: Why rising wholesale prices are impacting NTS charges

Due to the current energy crisis, consumer energy bills have been exposed to substantial increases over the past year. The recent rise in wholesale prices has had knock-on effects in many non-commodity costs within consumer bills, some of which will be baked into charges for several years to come In...

Energy storage and flexibility

Unlocking REMA: emerging market views

Recent market events have continued to highlight the challenges of the energy trilemma, specifically the need to decarbonise the energy system while ensuring energy security and affordability. The government announced in April 2022 it would be undertaking a Review of Electricity Market Arrangements (REMA) to address these issues, and in...

Business supply and services

Sectoral spread of energy price hikes in GB

We recently published a report exploring the impact of price increases and the approaches which companies are already taking to mitigate their exposure. In this week's 'Chart of the Week', we discuss some of the key findings from this report.

Commercial and market outlook

Elevated Wholesale Price in the NEM: QLD on the verge of triggering Administered Price Cap (APC) again

The Administered Price Cap (APC) was triggered for the first state on 12 June at 6:55 am as a result of QLD breaching the Cumulative Price Threshold (CPT) of $1,359,100 for the rolling 7-day period. This caused the withdrawal of capacities by gas generators that could not recover fuel costs...

Home supply and services

Switching duck: electricity switches to remain subdued in the near future

In November 2021, switching levels plummeted in response to rising tariff prices and a lack of market choice. By January 2022, domestic switching reached its lowest level on record, falling 80% on January 2021. This 'Chart of the week' checks in with the options, if any, available to households wanting...

Home supply and services

Domestic Third Party Charges: 2022-23 outlook

The new energy price cap will come into effect from April, hitting a record high level which will see domestic consumers paying over 50% more per year in their energy bills. Although much of this increase is driven by rising wholesale prices, Third Party Charges (TPCs), reflecting non-commodity energy costs,...