Our Domestic market share survey highlighted for the first time that the gas retail market had dipped below the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI). This index indicates a competitive market and used by the US Department of Justice.
Two decades after the gas retail market was opened to competition it has now reached an important milestone. We explore the reasons behind this increase in competition in our latest Chart of the week. We also consider how the retail gas market landscape has changed.
Commercial and market outlook
For many, the first of April is marked in calendars as a day for jokes and silly nuisances. For the few, specifically the energy industry, we have it pencilled in for the release of the upcoming year’s Marginal Loss Factors (MLFs). Over the last half-decade, movements in MLFs have received...
Power and gas networks
In unfavourable conditions, gas shortfalls on peak days this winter are a distinct possibility highlighted by AEMO’s 2023 Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO). The GSOO is released yearly and provides a forecast of the adequacy of east coast gas supplies based on demand forecasts. The GSOO can highlight to the...
Energy storage and flexibility
The events leading up to the recent market suspension in June have highlighted the role that peaking gas-fired generation plays in satisfying demand and setting prices across the NEM in the morning and evening peak periods. The team recently explored some of the drivers and effects of these events in...
Commercial and market outlook
Last year it was difficult to imagine that spot gas prices in Australia would hit unprecedented levels of more than $40-50/GJ, with AEMO capping the DWGM price at $40/GJ. By comparison, the DWGM only averaged $5.10/GJ last year. As was mentioned by Energy Market Intelligence Manager Mohsin Ali in the...
Power and gas networks
Australia’s gas markets are in the middle of an unprecedented price spike. Current prices in the Victorian Declared Wholesale Gas Market (DWGM) have been tracking in the $20-40/GJ range since early May 2022, with prices hitting $50/GJ on 30 May. Prices in the other gas hubs of Sydney and Brisbane...
Home supply and services
Throughout the recent period of wholesale and supply market volatility, the government and Ofgem have remained committed to the default tariff cap and continued to highlight its benefits to customers in protecting them from rising energy prices this winter. However, Cornwall Insight’s forecast of the default tariff cap for Summer...
Commercial and market outlook
The perfect storm of challenging market conditions has persisted across the duration of the 2020-21 compliance period (CP) of the Renewables Obligation (RO), driving a large volume of supplier exits, particularly over recent months. As the dust settles on the compliance process relating to CP19 (2020-21) of the RO, this...
Commercial and market outlook
The Declared Wholesale Gas Market (DWGM) prices in Victoria have been on a rising trend since the start-up of LNG exports in 2015. Is this trend sustainable, given the Gas Statement of Opportunities (GSOO) forecasts an improved gas supply outlook with the new Port Kembla Gas Terminal (PKGT) expected to...
