The new energy price cap will come into effect from April, hitting a record high level which will see domestic consumers paying over 50% more per year in their energy bills. Although much of this increase is driven by rising wholesale prices, Third Party Charges (TPCs), reflecting non-commodity energy costs, are also set to rise for domestic consumers in 2022-23. In this ‘Chart of the week’, we explore how our forecasts of domestic TPCs are set to change between financial years 2021-22 and 2022-23 and assess the components driving the large jump in costs for these users.
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Related thinking
Business supply and services
The first month of the EGL against a backdrop of falling wholesale prices
The end of January means the end of the first month of the Electricity Generator Levy (EGL). First announced as part of the Autumn 2022 budget, the EGL places a 45% tax on generation receipts above £75/MWh for non-Contracts for Difference (CfD) renewable and nuclear generators until March 2028. In...
Home supply and services
With wholesale prices falling, how many domestic customers are looking for better prices?
In anticipation of supply contracts being offered below the Energy Price Guarantee (EPG), what might happen to customer switching rates? In this week’s 'Chart of the week', we look at how many domestic consumers might be ready to switch when suppliers increasingly offer contracts below the price cap supported level,...
Home supply and services
A bumpy ride: Why rising wholesale prices are impacting NTS charges
Due to the current energy crisis, consumer energy bills have been exposed to substantial increases over the past year. The recent rise in wholesale prices has had knock-on effects in many non-commodity costs within consumer bills, some of which will be baked into charges for several years to come In...
Energy storage and flexibility
Unlocking REMA: emerging market views
Recent market events have continued to highlight the challenges of the energy trilemma, specifically the need to decarbonise the energy system while ensuring energy security and affordability. The government announced in April 2022 it would be undertaking a Review of Electricity Market Arrangements (REMA) to address these issues, and in...
Commercial and market outlook
Elevated Wholesale Price in the NEM: QLD on the verge of triggering Administered Price Cap (APC) again
The Administered Price Cap (APC) was triggered for the first state on 12 June at 6:55 am as a result of QLD breaching the Cumulative Price Threshold (CPT) of $1,359,100 for the rolling 7-day period. This caused the withdrawal of capacities by gas generators that could not recover fuel costs...
Low carbon generation
BSUoS charges: What goes up…
Balancing Service Use of System (BSUoS) charges have continued to be the dominant driver of Third-Party Charge increases in recent months, with costs remaining elevated since last autumn. In this 'Chart of the week', we present a view of past monthly BSUoS charges and expectations for future costs on a...
Home supply and services
No easy fix: tariff prices remain high
In response to the unprecedented increases in global gas prices, Ofgem announced last week time limited measures “to help stabilise” the supply market. This includes a requirement for all domestic suppliers to offer existing customers the same tariffs available to new customers from 14 April, echoing changes made by the...
Home supply and services
Over a third of energy suppliers have left the market
The domestic supplier market is facing a turbulent time with high wholesale prices causing distress and a series of supplier exits in the energy sector. This week's 'Chart of the week' examines these suppliers exits and their effect on the domestic market.
