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Forecasts

Market-leading forecasts for wholesale power, non-commodity costs, network charges and capacity market clearing prices, informed by our expert view of the market and our detailed, comprehensive in-house models. Used in financial and transaction due diligence and future investment or disposal decisions.

Forecast Services

Forecasts
GB Battery Revenue Forecast

Provides indicative forecasts of the revenues from battery storage assets across a number of different parameters and scenarios.

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Forecasts
Default Tariff Cap Predictor

Our Default Tariff Cap Predictor forecasts Ofgem's quarterly price cap and examines the key drivers affecting the level of the cap, and – in turn – household energy bills.

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Forecasts
Business Energy Cost Forecast (GB)

A regular report providing forecasts of the all-in delivery cost of energy for businesses. It utilises our market-leading in-house modelling of both wholesale energy costs and non-commodity costs/ third party charges (TPCs).

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Forecasts
Capacity Market Forecast (GB)

Expert forecasting of clearing prices for the T- 1 and T- 4 auctions, regular updates on key rule changes and trusted, detailed analysis of each set of auction results, to help inform on the competitive landscape and your bidding strategy.

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Forecasts
Storage Profitability Benchmark Curve (AUS)

The Storage Profitability Benchmark Curve (SPBC) is designed to provide a detailed revenue projection of battery storage projects across the National Electricity Market (NEM).

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Forecasts
Network Forecasts (AUS)

Our Network Forecasts (AUS) subscription contains our Marginal Loss Factor (MLF) Curve which provides future projections of MLFs throughout the National Electricity Market (NEM). This allows clients to be better informed of likely MLF trajectories for current projects, as well as being able to benchmark MLFs for projects under development.

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Forecasts
FCAS Curve (AUS)

Our FCAS Curve (AUS) subscription contains the NEM Frequency Control Ancillary Services (FCAS) Market Curve, a granular 30-minute price forecast for all NEM ancillary service markets (all 10 FCAS markets) over a 20-year horizon.

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Forecasts
NEM Benchmark Power Curve

The NEM Benchmark Power Curve is a comprehensive market and asset-level electricity modelling service, delivering long-term wholesale power price forecasts for the National Electricity market (NEM) in Australia.

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Forecasts
Japan Benchmark Power Curve

The Japan Benchmark Power Curve is a comprehensive power price modelling service, providing market and technology-specific forecasts in partnership with Shulman Advisory.

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Forecasts
Germany Benchmark Power Curve

The Germany Benchmark Power Curve is a comprehensive power price modelling service, providing market and technology-specific forecasts.

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Forecasts
SEM Benchmark Power Curve

For the Island of Ireland, a comprehensive power price modelling service that delivers long-term 30-year wholesale power price forecasts informed by our significant market, policy and regulatory expertise.

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Forecasts
5 Year Power Price Projector (GB)

Understand the trajectory of power prices beyond the horizon of the forward curve and integrate these assumptions into budgeting, trading, and business and investment decisions.

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Forecasts
Great Britain Benchmark Power Curve

A comprehensive Great Britain energy market power price modelling service that delivers long-term, wholesale, 30-year price forecasts informed by our significant market, policy and regulatory expertise, updated on a quarterly basis.

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Forecasts
Network Forecasts (GB)

Expert long-term forecasting for network use of system charges and revenues applicable to generators connected to the GB network. These are delivered with a configurable tool able to create projects specific forecasts based on its technology type, expected load factors, and location on the network.

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Forecasts
Non-Commodity Costs (GB)

Our long-term forecast of Non-Commodity Costs is the industry leading source of information, underpinned by subject matter experts, to help you understand the trajectory of charges that make up an electricity bill. The service also provides further in-depth analysis on the costs associated with the Contracts for Difference and Feed in Tariff schemes.

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Latest thought leadership

Emily Lewis |
25 September 2024
Recent and Future Trends in Business Energy Costs

In this podcast, our experts discuss the drivers and trends behind these long-term costs as well as the impacts on corporate decarbonisation efforts.

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Anna Moss |
23 September 2024
Smart Energy GB – Turn on, Plug in, Check out: Unlocking the value from smart meter-enabled EV flexibility

Our research paper explores the value of smart and V2G electric vehicle (EV) charging within a flexible energy system in three snapshot years.

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Matthew Chadwick |
19 September 2024
Hurdling to Net Zero: Overcoming the Obstacles to Renewable Deployment and Investment

Our latest report discusses a series of actions that can be taken by the new government, industry bodies, and market participants to help regain and maintain momentum in the transition to net zero.

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James Cunningham |
20 August 2024
Tackling the TNUoS Challenge: Could Reform be the Key to Net Zero?

In our latest blog, Senior Consultant James Cunningham sets out the challenges these costs pose for developing the renewable energy projects needed to reach net zero and what is currently being done to address these issues.

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