Skip to content

Renewables & Power Market Forecast

icon

Coverage of Great Britain

icon

Updated quarterly

icon

Debrief sessions

A quarterly commercial due diligence–style market forecast of wholesale power prices, capture rates, and IRRs that gives investors, lenders, and developers the clarity and defensible assumptions they need to value, finance and structure renewable energy projects.

Overview

This quarterly service combines Cornwall Insight’s long-term wholesale and capture price forecasts with deep analysis of policy, market conditions and asset-level economics.

Structured in a commercial due diligence format, it highlights the key drivers of value and risk across the GB renewables landscape, helping investors, lenders and developers understand revenue outlooks, navigate market change, and make confident decisions on project development, financing, acquisition and sale.

Each release provides a consistent, transparent framework for evaluating opportunities and comparing technologies across locations and business models.

This quarterly service combines Cornwall Insight’s long-term wholesale and capture price forecasts with deep analysis of policy, market conditions and asset-level economics.

Structured in a commercial due diligence format, it highlights the key drivers of value and risk across the GB renewables landscape, helping investors, lenders and developers understand revenue outlooks, navigate market change, and make confident decisions on project development, financing, acquisition and sale.

Each release provides a consistent, transparent framework for evaluating opportunities and comparing technologies across locations and business models.

What's included in the Renewables & Power Market Forecast service?

A quarterly, commercial due diligence–style market insight service designed for investors, lenders and developers active in the UK renewables market.

Each report provides:

  • Bankable long-term wholesale and capture price scenarios (Central / High / Low)

  • Market context and demand outlook, including key policy and regulatory developments

  • Route-to-market and business model analysis, covering PPA structures, co-location, and merchant exposure

  • Technology-specific IRRs and investment cases, including sensitivities and revenue breakdowns

  • Risk assessment and mitigation strategies, with clear commercial implications

You also receive:

  • A fully transparent Excel databook containing all underlying assumptions, hourly curves, technology archetypes, sensitivities and model-ready inputs

  • Six hours of expert support from our product team for workshops, Q&A and knowledge-sharing

  • Up to six group meetings each year, focused on short- to medium-term price movements and key market developments

Who is this service for?

This service is designed for organisations investing in, developing or financing renewable and co-located projects in Great Britain.

  • Renewable energy investors

  • Project developers (renewable and co-located)

  • Investment management and financial modelling teams

  • Senior commercial, strategy and business development leaders (Director/Head of/VP+)

  • Lenders and banks

  • Financial advisors

What are the benefits of this service?

  • Rely on bank-trusted insight throughout the investment process Our forecasts are used and trusted by leading lenders and financial advisors, with a long track record supporting debt-financed transactions.

  • Make confident, defensible decisions A commercial due-diligence–style approach gives senior teams the clarity and evidence they need to value, finance and structure renewable projects.

  • Go beyond traditional forecasts We combine policy, market design, business models and project-level economics to provide a deeper, more actionable view of the market.

  • Strengthen engagement with lenders and investment committees Transparent assumptions, scenario ranges and technology archetypes help demonstrate headroom, test sensitivities and support bankability.

  • Benchmark opportunities quickly and consistently A fully transparent Excel databook – including a commercial calculator for standalone and co-located projects – enables rapid comparison across technologies, locations and revenue stacks.

  • Stay ahead of the market Quarterly releases and regular group meetings ensure you’re always up to date with the developments that matter for valuation and investment strategy.

  • Backed by trusted industry experts Cornwall Insight’s expertise is widely recognised across the sector, offering independent insight grounded in real-world market understanding.

This quarterly service combines Cornwall Insight’s long-term wholesale and capture price forecasts with deep analysis of policy, market conditions and asset-level economics.

Structured in a commercial due diligence format, it highlights the key drivers of value and risk across the GB renewables landscape, helping investors, lenders and developers understand revenue outlooks, navigate market change, and make confident decisions on project development, financing, acquisition and sale.

Each release provides a consistent, transparent framework for evaluating opportunities and comparing technologies across locations and business models.

What's included in the Renewables & Power Market Forecast service?

A quarterly, commercial due diligence–style market insight service designed for investors, lenders and developers active in the UK renewables market.

Each report provides:

  • Bankable long-term wholesale and capture price scenarios (Central / High / Low)

  • Market context and demand outlook, including key policy and regulatory developments

  • Route-to-market and business model analysis, covering PPA structures, co-location, and merchant exposure

  • Technology-specific IRRs and investment cases, including sensitivities and revenue breakdowns

  • Risk assessment and mitigation strategies, with clear commercial implications

You also receive:

  • A fully transparent Excel databook containing all underlying assumptions, hourly curves, technology archetypes, sensitivities and model-ready inputs

  • Six hours of expert support from our product team for workshops, Q&A and knowledge-sharing

  • Up to six group meetings each year, focused on short- to medium-term price movements and key market developments

Who is this service for?

This service is designed for organisations investing in, developing or financing renewable and co-located projects in Great Britain.

  • Renewable energy investors

  • Project developers (renewable and co-located)

  • Investment management and financial modelling teams

  • Senior commercial, strategy and business development leaders (Director/Head of/VP+)

  • Lenders and banks

  • Financial advisors

What are the benefits of this service?

  • Rely on bank-trusted insight throughout the investment process Our forecasts are used and trusted by leading lenders and financial advisors, with a long track record supporting debt-financed transactions.

  • Make confident, defensible decisions A commercial due-diligence–style approach gives senior teams the clarity and evidence they need to value, finance and structure renewable projects.

  • Go beyond traditional forecasts We combine policy, market design, business models and project-level economics to provide a deeper, more actionable view of the market.

  • Strengthen engagement with lenders and investment committees Transparent assumptions, scenario ranges and technology archetypes help demonstrate headroom, test sensitivities and support bankability.

  • Benchmark opportunities quickly and consistently A fully transparent Excel databook – including a commercial calculator for standalone and co-located projects – enables rapid comparison across technologies, locations and revenue stacks.

  • Stay ahead of the market Quarterly releases and regular group meetings ensure you’re always up to date with the developments that matter for valuation and investment strategy.

  • Backed by trusted industry experts Cornwall Insight’s expertise is widely recognised across the sector, offering independent insight grounded in real-world market understanding.

footer-background
Get in Touch to Request a Demo of Our Renewables & Power Market Forecast Service

Fill in your details and we will get back to you as soon as possible

Book a Demo
profile image

Ben Reade

Senior Business Development Manager

Get in touch using the form to request a demo

You Might Also Be Interested In...

Forecasts
SEM Benchmark Power Curve

For the Island of Ireland, a comprehensive power price modelling service that delivers long-term 30-year wholesale power price forecasts informed by our significant market, policy and regulatory expertise.

View Service
Policy and Regulation
Regulatory Intelligence (GB)

Our code modifications and consultation registers provide real-time analysis on the impact of industry rule change to your business, helping you to navigate the regulatory complexity of the GB energy market

View Service
Industry News and Analysis
Industry Essentials (GB)

Detailed analysis on key industry topics, easily digestible and daily consolidated news, as well as an in-depth outlook for wholesale power and gas within the GB energy market and international commodity markets. Apply for a FREE 14-day trial to learn how Industry Essentials allows you to stay ahead in the GB energy market.

View Service
Market Intelligence
Energy Supply Market Intelligence

Stay up to date with the energy retail market through detailed digital supplier profiles with comprehensive summaries and real-time updates.

View Service
Market Intelligence
Flexibility (GB)

Our comprehensive flexibility service provides end to end insight, analysis and forecasting across all the major revenue streams for flexible assets in GB, as well as access to our exclusive forum.

View Service
Market Intelligence
Low Carbon Generation (GB)

Our dedicated insight on Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs), green certificates, and the GB renewables pipeline, supplemented with access to experts via the Green Generators Group forum, allows you to track the latest developments across low carbon generation markets.

View Service
Forecasts
Capacity Market Forecast (GB)

Expert forecasting of clearing prices for the T- 1 and T- 4 auctions, regular updates on key rule changes and trusted, detailed analysis of each set of auction results, to help inform on the competitive landscape and your bidding strategy.

View Service
Intermediate
Low Carbon Generation Academy

Essential learning to understand the commercial landscape for low carbon generation.

View Course
Intermediate
Power Purchase Agreements – Structures, Markets & Pricing

This short course is indispensable for those wanting to understand the basics of how Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) and their variants, including Corporate Power Purchase Agreements (CPPAs), are an essential contracting route for many renewable electricity generators.

View Course
Advanced
GB Wholesale Energy Markets & Risk Management

Hands on learning to better understand how energy market participants approach energy trading, identify and measure trading risks, and the current market landscape.

View Course
Intermediate
Net Zero Transition: Future Electricity Markets

This course introduces a range of scenarios for the future of the GB electricity system to 2050, some of the new technologies that are needed at scale to meet targets, and how they will be supported in the market. The course will also explain the latest changes to market arrangements and network infrastructure planning and investment developments.

View Course
Foundation
Introduction to the GB Energy Markets Academy

Essential training for anyone new to the GB energy markets.

View Course
Intermediate
Flexibility Academy

Understand the key principles, concepts, and requirements for the procurement and provision of response and reserve services by the Electricity System Operator.

View Course