Winds of change: Analysing SEM wind forecast accuracy

Following the publication of the Tomorrow’s Energy Scenarios (TES) 2019, we can expect to see greater penetration of wind generation in the coming 20 years, with installed capacity forecast between 6.0GW to 8.2GW by 2040. As the growth in wind generation continues, forecasting wind accurately will become increasingly important in order to balance demand and supply in the SEM. In this week’s blog, we analyse EirGrid’s wind forecast against actual generation over the past two years.

Related thinking

Commercial and market outlook

What to look out for in 2024

Cornwall Insight experts provide their predictions for the year ahead in this handy infographic. We have collated some predictions from across our knowledge base to provide a quick snapshot of what to look out for in the GB energy market in 2024. The key highlights include the global discussion on...

Announcement

Offshore wind now appears in latest ISP

The ISP also forecasts that greater flexible gas generation is needed From Cornwall Insight Australia's Energy Market Alerts service Offshore wind officially appears in the draft 2024 ISP due to state-based offshore wind targets. Figure 1 below from our latest Energy Market Alert, shows the variance in forecast generation between...

Announcement

Capacity Investment Scheme boosted from 6GW to 32GW

From Cornwall Insight Australia's Energy Market Alerts service Last Friday, the Commonwealth announced a major boost to the Capacity Investment Scheme, with the scheme now expected to deliver 32GW (combination of 9GW firming capacity and 23GW renewable generation) – up from 6GW. Cornwall Insight Australia has released an Energy Market...

Energy storage and flexibility

Off-peak electricity use and home generation could cut billions off energy costs

New analysis from Cornwall Insight and Smart Energy GB has revealed the substantial cost-saving potential of household flexible electricity initiatives such as time-of-use tariffs, smart meters, solar PV, and batteries. The has data revealed national wholesale and system electricity costs could be cut by an annual £4.6bn in 2030 and...

Regulation and policy

Capacity Market: Rule changes for upcoming auctions

The latest round of Capacity Market auctions is underway following the publication of the auction parameters on 18 July, with the prequalification window subsequently opening on 26 July. In this blog, we explore some of the changes made to the rules and regulations of the scheme ahead of this year’s...

Commercial and market outlook

Capacity, reform, and unlawful strategies: 5 things that happened yesterday

Capacity, reform, and unlawful strategies: yesterday was a busy day for energy geekery. The developments encapsulate the shorter and longer term challenges and uncertainties present in the energy market presently: Read the full article here

Commercial and market outlook

2021’s most exciting ‘Charts of the week’

Some of our team have looked back throughout 2021 and picked their most exciting 'Chart of the week'. Read about their choices and click through to read the full 'Chart of the week'. To do so, you need a free Cornwall Insight account which is easy to create here. Green...

Low carbon generation

Our Renewables Pipeline Tracker: In with the new – scoping projects and progression through planning stages

Our latest Renewables Pipeline Tracker was published on 11 June, and this blog provides a summary of some of the recent developments in our coverage of the pipeline for new build and repowering renewables assets in GB. What’s new? Seabed leasing rounds, scoping projects and CfD announcements Since our previous...