Flexible Power Market Forecast

This quarterly service combines Cornwall Insight’s long-term wholesale and capture price forecasts with deep analysis of policy, market conditions and asset-level economics.

Structured in a commercial due diligence format, it highlights the key drivers of value and risk across the GB renewables landscape, helping investors, lenders and developers understand revenue outlooks, navigate market change, and make confident decisions on project development, financing, acquisition and sale. Each release provides a consistent, transparent framework for evaluating opportunities and comparing technologies across locations and business models.

What's included in the Flexible Power Market Forecast service?

A quarterly, commercial due diligence–style market insight service designed for investors, lenders and developers active in the UK renewables market.

Each report provides:

• Bankable long-term wholesale and capture price scenarios (Central / High / Low)

• Market context and demand outlook, including key policy and regulatory developments

• Route-to-market and business model analysis, covering PPA structures, co-location, and merchant exposure

• Technology-specific IRRs and investment cases, including sensitivities and revenue breakdowns

• Risk assessment and mitigation strategies, with clear commercial implications

You also receive:

• A fully transparent Excel databook containing all underlying assumptions, hourly curves, technology archetypes, sensitivities and model-ready inputs

• Six hours of expert support from our product team for workshops, Q&A and knowledge-sharing

• Up to six group meetings each year, focused on short- to medium-term price movements and key market developments

Who is this service for?

This service is designed for organisations investing in, developing or financing renewable and co-located projects in Great Britain.

• Renewable energy investors

• Project developers (renewable and co-located)

• Investment management and financial modelling teams

• Senior commercial, strategy and business development leaders (Director/Head of/VP+)

• Lenders and banks

• Financial advisors

What are the benefits of this service?

• Rely on bank-trusted insight throughout the investment process

Our forecasts are used and trusted by leading lenders and financial advisors, with a long track record supporting debt-financed transactions.

• Make confident, defensible decisions

A commercial due-diligence–style approach gives senior teams the clarity and evidence they need to value, finance and structure renewable projects.

• Go beyond traditional forecasts

We combine policy, market design, business models and project-level economics to provide a deeper, more actionable view of the market.

• Strengthen engagement with lenders and investment committees

Transparent assumptions, scenario ranges and technology archetypes help demonstrate headroom, test sensitivities and support bankability.

• Benchmark opportunities quickly and consistently

A fully transparent Excel databook – including a commercial calculator for standalone and co-located projects – enables rapid comparison across technologies, locations and revenue stacks.

• Stay ahead of the market

Quarterly releases and regular group meetings ensure you’re always up to date with the developments that matter for valuation and investment strategy.

• Backed by trusted industry experts

Cornwall Insight’s expertise is widely recognised across the sector, offering independent insight grounded in real-world market understanding.