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forecasts
-
Press Releases
GB power prices to remain high despite drop in short-term forecasts
Cornwall Insight have cut their short-term power market price forecast by 12%, with average costs for 2024 now predicted to be £113 per MWh1. The decrease in electricity price predictions is attributed to the higher than expected gas reserves in Europe, lowering fears of shortages this winter. The data, included...
-
Press Releases
Price cap forecast to remain above current level until end of 2024
The predictions for the Default Tariff Cap in this piece are out of date please click HERE to find our most up to date forecasts. Forecasts for the 2024 Default Tariff Cap (price cap) have risen in response to growing volatility in the global wholesale energy market. Latest predictions, place a typical1...
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Press Releases
Cornwall Insight’s response to the announcement of the October price cap
The predictions for the Default Tariff Cap in this piece are out of date please click HERE to find our most up to date forecasts. Ofgem has today announced the October Default Tariff Cap (price cap) at £1,923 a year for a typical dual fuel consumer1 for the final three months of...
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Press Releases
Mixed outlook for energy bills as new cap announcement looms
The predictions for the Default Tariff Cap in this piece are out of date please click HERE to find our most up to date forecasts. Cornwall Insight has unveiled its latest forecasts for the Default Tariff Cap (price cap) covering the period October 2023 (Q423) to September 2024 (Q324). The predictions, calculated...
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Press Releases
New forecast warns power prices to remain elevated until late 2030s
Cornwall Insight has unveiled its latest GB Power Market Outlook to 2030, revealing that power prices in Great Britain will not shift below pre-2022 levels until the late 2030s. The report cites the surging demand for power as the main driver behind this trend, as the move to electric heating...
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Press Releases
Average price cap forecasts fall as Ofgem revises definition of typical energy consumption
The predictions for the Default Tariff Cap in this piece are out of date please click HERE to find our most up to date forecasts. Prior to the upcoming introduction of the July Default Tariff Cap (price cap), Cornwall Insight is unveiling its latest predictions. Starting from October 2023, the forecast stands...
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Press Releases
Cornwall Insight responds to the government’s announcement on the EPG
The predictions for the Default Tariff Cap in this piece are out of date please click HERE to find our most up to date forecasts. Dr Craig Lowrey, Principal Consultant at Cornwall Insight said: “The announcement that the government will maintain the Energy Price Guarantee (EPG) at £2,500 has provided much-needed clarity for energy...
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Press Releases
Europe’s gas storage levels forecast to finish winter higher than 2020
Modelling from Cornwall Insight suggests European gas storage levels will end this winter between 45-61% full, with an average of 55% and could reach 88-100% full by September 2023. The data, included in our insight paper ‘Crisis behind, challenge ahead: European gas storage levels for 2023’ shows this would be...
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Media Mentions
BBC News Online| Falling wholesale market lowers price cap forecasts
Our first price cap predictions for 2023 were revised downward due to decreasing wholesale prices. Despite the decrease, our Principal Consultant Dr Craig Lowrey warned in a BBC article that even if energy prices remain low, government spending related to the Energy Price Guarantee will likely be passed on to...
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Press Releases
European gas shortages to keep wholesale prices high this winter and next
New modelling from Cornwall Insight included in our report - ‘Another winter of discontent?’ - has shown wholesale gas prices this December have more than doubled since November and are significantly higher than this time last year. The report forecasts this trend could continue throughout the winter and beyond (Figures...
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Press Releases
Average power prices to remain elevated for the next three years
Data from Cornwall Insight Australia’s Benchmark Power Curve (BPC)1 has forecast that from 2026, power prices in a neutral/base scenario will be, on average, ~$60-$100/MWh across all states in the National Electricity Market (NEM). This aligns with ~$40-80/MWh levels seen during 2021. The BPC has, however, forecast that the annual...
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Press Releases
Cornwall Insight release final Default Tariff Cap and EPG cost predictions prior to Ofgem announcement tomorrow
The predictions for the Default Tariff Cap in this piece are out of date please click HERE to find our most up to date forecasts. Cornwall Insight are releasing our final forecast for the January 2023 Default Tariff Cap (price cap), due to be announced tomorrow (24 November). We are also releasing...
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Press Releases
Cornwall Insight forecasts a fall in the April 2023 Price Cap but prices remain significantly above the Energy Price Guarantee
The predictions for the Default Tariff Cap in this piece are out of date please click HERE to find our most up to date forecasts. Cornwall Insight’s latest Default Tariff Cap (price cap) forecasts for April – June 2023 (Q223) have dropped by over £600 since the last widely released figures on...
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Press Releases
Offshore wind crucial to stabilising the UK energy market
Data from Cornwall Insight included in our third 2022 - GB Power Market Outlook to 2030 - has forecast a drop in prices from late 2023, as gas prices fall from current peaks. Later in the decade, renewables play a key role in the levelling out of prices despite increased...
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Press Releases
Response to the domestic Energy Price Guarantee announcement
The predictions for the Default Tariff Cap in this piece are out of date please click HERE to find our most up to date forecasts. Following the announcement that the domestic Energy Price Guarantee (EPG) will come to an end in April 2023, Cornwall Insight has released approximate Price Cap forecasts for...
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Press Releases
Energy Price Guarantee could cost the Government between £72bn – £140bn
Modelling from Cornwall Insight has forecast the two-year cost of the Energy Price Guarantee (EPG) to be between £72bn in the lowest case scenario, and £140bn in the extreme high case scenario1. The data included in our new EPG report ‘Counting the Costs’, shows a near doubling of the forecasts...
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Press Releases
Investment in renewable pushes power price projections down but they remain above the pre-2021 average for next decade
Cornwall Insight’s latest - GB Power Market Outlook to 2030 – has shown greater investment in renewables by nations across the continent, which has resulted in lower price projections in GB from 2024 up until 2030. This is compared with our first report, published three months ago. Renewable investment has increased largely as...
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Press Releases
Price Cap predictions soar as EU sanctions on Russia cause volatility in the wholesale market
Cornwall Insight’s forecast for the October (Q4 2022) Default Tariff Cap has increased to £2,879 for an average consumer, as Russian oil sanctions cause renewed uncertainty across the energy market. The predictions for the January (Q1 2023) Cap are even costlier rising to over £2,900 for the first time. While...
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Press Releases
Cornwall Insight releases latest Winter price cap predictions as Summer 2022 cap introduced
Today our experts at Cornwall Insight are releasing their latest predictions for the average household’s Winter 2022/23 Default Tariff Cap, as the Summer 2022 54% rise comes into force. The winter figures show a predicted increase of over £600 from today’s rise, and would mean that energy prices would have...
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Media Mentions
Current | Costs of renewables fall
Tom Edwards, Senior Modelling Consultant at Cornwall Insight spoke to current on the costs of deploying renewable electricity continuing to fall. He explained how the figures also show that hurdle rates for solar and wind have come down since the 2016 report, “while hurdle rates for traditional thermal technologies remain...
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Press Releases
Forecasts show 46 GW increase of renewables technology capacity required by 2030
Forecasts from Cornwall Insight’s ‘Benchmark power curve’ suggests that up to ~46GW of new build renewable technology ̶ ~11GW onshore wind, ~10GW solar and ~25GW offshore wind ̶ may need to be developed by 2030 to keep pace with 2050 net zero targets. This large-scale deployment of very low/zero marginal...
